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PL  ·  Planet Labs PBC, NYSE  ·  Aerospace & Defense · Geospatial Data

Planet Labs PBC

Type
Equity research note
Horizon of analysis
12 months
Reviewed
June 18, 2026
A post-parabolic correction. Planet Labs posted record Q1 FY2027 revenue of $94.2M (+42%) with a backlog of $906M (+72%) and fresh defense contracts, but the stock has fallen ~45% from its May high to ~$28 after a light full-year guide, a newly launched $1.5B equity (ATM) program, and a SpaceX-IPO-driven rotation out of space names. Next earnings: September 14, 2026.
Last price (live)
$28.20
~45% below May high $51.76
Market cap
~$9.9B
~356M shares
Price / sales
~29x
rich; GAAP-unprofitable
Backlog (Q1 FY27)
$906M
+72% YoY
1

Profitability assessment

Revenue (Q1 FY27)
$94.2M
+42% YoY, record
Gross margin (GAAP)
53.5%
non-GAAP ~56%
Adjusted EBITDA (Q1)
−$1.0M
vs +$1.2M a year ago
GAAP net loss (Q1)
−$138.9M
incl. one-time warrant loss
QuarterGross marginOperating margin
Q2 FY202657.6%−24.5%
Q3 FY202657.3%−22.6%
Q4 FY202654.2%−41.5%
Q1 FY202753.5%−37.1%

Planet Labs is not GAAP-profitable and is roughly breakeven on adjusted EBITDA. The most recent quarter (Q1 FY2027, ended April 30, 2026, reported June 4) set a record $94.2M of revenue (+42%). The GAAP net loss of −$138.9M (EPS −$0.40) included a ~$106.5M non-cash warrant-revaluation loss that will not recur (the warrants have since been redeemed); on a non-GAAP basis the loss was just −$8.8M (EPS −$0.03).

Gross margin runs in the mid-50s (53.5% GAAP, ~56% non-GAAP) and has drifted modestly lower, while the operating loss widened on higher opex. The balance sheet is solid: $730.8M of cash (boosted by warrant proceeds), Q1 operating cash flow of +$15.4M, and a net-cash position. Planet's fiscal year ends around January 31.

2

Earnings growth analysis

Revenue growth (Q1 YoY)
+42%
TTM +34%
Backlog
$906M
+72% YoY; 99% recurring
FY2027 revenue guidance
$425–441M
~+30% growth
FY2027 adj. EBITDA guide
$0–10M
turning slimly positive

Growth is rapid and increasingly visible: revenue +42% in the quarter, a backlog of $906M (+72%), remaining performance obligations of $816M (+81%), and 99% recurring annual contract value. FY2027 guidance calls for $425–441M of revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $0–10M, which would turn the company slimly EBITDA-positive for the year, with capex of $80–95M.

On EPS, the consensus still models a loss (about −$0.38 for FY2027), so there is no meaningful P/E or PEG. The full-year guide of roughly 30% growth disappointed some growth investors despite the Q1 beat. Catalysts: defense and intelligence contracts, AI-driven analytics, and the next-generation Pelican fleet. Headwinds: ongoing GAAP losses, equity dilution, and a rich revenue multiple.

3

Stage analysis (Weinstein)

Weinstein stage
Stage 3 → 4
post-parabolic top
Price vs 50-day MA
Below
$28 vs $38.33
Price vs 200-day MA
Above
$28 vs $23.85 (rising)

PL ran roughly +695% over twelve months to a high near $51.76, then fell about 45% after the Q1 print and guidance and a SpaceX-IPO-driven repricing of space stocks. Price (~$28) now sits below a rolled-over 50-day moving average ($38.33) but remains above a still-rising 200-day ($23.85).

The lower highs and lower lows since the May peak point to a Stage 3 top transitioning toward early Stage 4, a post-parabolic correction rather than a fresh base. Holding above the rising 200-day is the constructive element to watch.

4

Technical analysis

Current price (live)$28.20
RSI (14-day)32.7Toward oversold
MACDNegative (est.)Bearish
50-day MA$38.33Below
200-day MA$23.85Above
52-week range$4.90–$51.76Very wide
Beta (5Y)2.00High vol
Avg volume~16.1MElevated
Short interest11.6% of floatElevated
Position vs high~45% belowCorrected

Short-term technicals are weak. Price is below a rolled-over 50-day moving average but holding above a rising 200-day, the RSI near 33 is approaching oversold, and recent action has been wide-range distribution (down ~22% on June 5 after earnings, down ~9% on June 12). The exact MACD value could not be sourced, but the configuration is bearish.

Note: finviz would not return through the fetch tool; RSI and moving-average values are from stockanalysis.com (as of June 18).

5

Price compression analysis

Beta (5Y)
2.00
~2x market volatility
Price / sales
~29x
rich for an unprofitable name
Setup
Post-parabolic pullback
range expansion, not squeeze

This is the opposite of compression. After a +437% 52-week run, the stock is in a sharp, wide-range correction, with single-day moves of about −22% and −9% in June and a beta near 2.0. At roughly 29x sales it carries a rich multiple for a GAAP-unprofitable company, which amplifies the volatility in both directions.

Unverified: a specific Bollinger-Band-width figure was not retrievable from the sources checked.

6

News sentiment review (last 30 days)

Event / catalystDateDetailSentiment
Q1 FY2027 resultsJun 4, 2026Record rev $94.2M (+42%), backlog $906M; FY guide light, stock −22% next dayMixed
8-figure NGA contract extensionJun 4, 2026Maritime surveillance + crisis monitoringPositive
$1.5B ATM equity offering launched~Jun 5, 2026Dilution overhang; stock ~−6.6%Negative
Public warrants redeemed (~$108M)Jun 4, 2026Strengthens cash, removes an overhangPositive
Pelican-11 demo satellite shippedJun 2, 2026Next-gen fleet progressPositive
SpaceX IPO pulls capital from space peersJun 12, 2026Sector rotation; stock ~−9%Negative

The 30-day newsflow is two-sided. Strong fundamental and contract momentum (the NGA extension, record revenue, an $906M backlog, the Pelican-11 milestone) sits against a newly launched $1.5B at-the-market equity program, a light full-year guide, and a SpaceX-IPO-driven rotation out of listed space names. Insiders own ~7.4%; specific recent insider transactions were not found.

7

Momentum evaluation

52-week performance
+437%
parabolic run
Last two weeks
Sharply lower
post-earnings + rotation
Institutional ownership
~61.2%
insiders ~7.4%
Short interest
11.6% of float
~3.3 days to cover

Momentum is a tale of two horizons: spectacular over the past year (+437%) but sharply negative over the last two weeks as the post-earnings drop and the SpaceX-IPO rotation hit, with the RSI down near 33. Short interest is elevated at ~11.6% of float.

Published analyst coverage is broadly constructive, with most price targets raised after the Q1 report, though the dispersion of views is wide given the valuation and the correction.

8

Macro factor assessment

Macro factorTrendPL impactSensitivity
Defense & government spendingRising; geopolitical tensionPrimary demand driver (NGA, NRO, intl D&I)High
Geospatial / AI analytics demandGrowingKey growth vector beyond imageryTailwind
Interest rates / risk appetiteHigher-for-longerUnprofitable, high-beta, ~29x salesHigh
Equity dilution (ATM)$1.5B program activePersistent overhang on the sharesHigh
Sector rotation (space peers)Post-SpaceX-IPONear-term capital outflowMedium

Planet Labs is a fairly clean play on rising defense, government, and geospatial-AI demand, and the contract wins are the proof. But as an unprofitable, high-beta (2.0) name at roughly 29x sales, it is highly sensitive to interest rates and risk appetite. The active $1.5B at-the-market program is a dilution overhang, and the SpaceX IPO has pulled capital out of listed space peers in the near term. A $731M cash balance mitigates solvency risk.

9

Summary of key considerations

Planet Labs is a fast-growing, contract-rich geospatial-data company in a sharp post-parabolic correction. The business is executing: record quarterly revenue (+42%), a backlog of $906M (+72%), 99% recurring revenue, fresh defense and intelligence contracts, and guidance that turns it slimly adjusted-EBITDA-positive for the year. But it is still GAAP-unprofitable, trades at a rich ~29x sales, and has launched a $1.5B at-the-market equity program that hangs over the shares. After a +437% run, the stock has fallen ~45% from its May high, sits below a rolled-over 50-day moving average (though above a rising 200-day), and was caught in a sector-wide rotation out of space names after the SpaceX IPO. A strong, high-beta growth story whose valuation and dilution are the swing factors.

Supporting factors

Revenue +42%; record quarter Backlog $906M (+72%) Defense / intelligence contract wins FY guide turns EBITDA-positive

Risk factors

GAAP unprofitable; ~29x sales $1.5B ATM dilution overhang Below a rolled-over 50-day MA High beta (2.0); ~45% off the high Above a rising 200-day MA Adj. EBITDA near breakeven

What's working: a record quarter (revenue +42%), a backlog of $906M growing 72% with 99% recurring revenue, a string of defense and intelligence wins (an NGA extension, an international D&I capacity deal), next-generation Pelican satellites progressing, and FY2027 guidance that turns the company slimly adjusted-EBITDA-positive, with $731M of cash on hand.

What to weigh: the company is still GAAP-unprofitable at a rich ~29x sales; a newly launched $1.5B at-the-market equity program is a persistent dilution overhang; the stock has fallen ~45% from its May high and trades below a rolled-over 50-day moving average; and with a beta near 2.0 it is highly sensitive to rates, risk appetite, and the post-SpaceX-IPO rotation out of space peers.

Sources & data: Live equity quote from the connected brokerage feed, as of June 18, 2026. Fundamentals, news and technicals from: Planet Q1 FY2027 results (BusinessWire)  ·  stockanalysis.com/PL  ·  Planet Labs Investor Relations  ·  TipRanks: PL forecast  ·  SEC EDGAR: Planet Labs. Figures are sourced; any item that could not be independently verified is labelled in-line. This research note is produced by Flywyl for informational and educational purposes only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not recommend buying, selling, or holding any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Flywyl is a research firm; it does not manage money or hold client assets.